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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.36+2.06vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.60+0.76vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.04+0.77vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.05-0.39vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-0.37vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.98+0.78vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-1.32-1.05vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.07-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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2.76Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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3.77Webb Institute-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.61Princeton University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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6.78Rutgers University-1.980.0%1st Place
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5.95Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.45Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 22.1% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Henry Proud | 27.7% | 23.0% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Liam Daniel | 14.9% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Zak Dasaro | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Ian Taylor | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 5.5% |
| Jack Harrington | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 51.2% |
| Charles Johnson | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 25.7% |
| Stephen Young | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.