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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+3.96vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.05+1.96vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.36+0.37vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.04+0.16vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.07+0.98vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.17-1.69vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-1.32-0.67vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.96Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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3.37Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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4.16Webb Institute-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.98Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.31Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.33Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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2.93Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Taylor | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Zak Dasaro | 13.5% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 19.9% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Liam Daniel | 12.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Stephen Young | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 11.8% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 41.6% |
| Henry Proud | 25.9% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.