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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.05+2.85vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.04+2.15vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.17+1.36vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.36-0.58vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.60-2.01vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.07-0.09vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-1.95vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-1.32-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Princeton University0.050.2%1st Place
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4.15Webb Institute-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.36Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.42Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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2.99Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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5.91Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.05Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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6.27Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Dasaro | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Liam Daniel | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 4.7% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 18.8% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Henry Proud | 25.7% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Young | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 30.2% |
| Ian Taylor | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| Charles Johnson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 24.1% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.