← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami3.99+7.51vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University4.17+5.72vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University4.71+2.25vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.70+5.42vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.80+4.13vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.73vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University4.33-0.25vs Predicted
-
9Boston College4.92-3.62vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.78+0.42vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.30vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.98-2.28vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-1.02vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy4.09-5.44vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.51vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.64-5.15vs Predicted
-
17University of Florida3.41-5.07vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
9.51University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
8.72Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
6.25Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
10.42Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
-
10.13Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
-
9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
7.75Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
5.38Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
10.42Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.72Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
-
11.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.56U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
8.49SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
10.85College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
11.93University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
-
11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| John Stokes | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Colin Smith | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Mac Mace | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| William Heausler | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| David Alfonso | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.