← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.18+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Washington College-0.92+2.14vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute-1.84+2.76vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.20+0.68vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-0.85-0.94vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University-0.23-3.06vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.95-1.02vs Predicted
-
8Drexel University-1.79-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Princeton University-0.180.3%1st Place
-
4.14Washington College-0.920.1%1st Place
-
5.76Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
-
4.68Rochester Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
-
4.06Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
-
2.94Columbia University-0.230.2%1st Place
-
5.98Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
-
5.61Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Larson | 27.5% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Haber Carlson | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Rudy Caligure | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 26.8% |
| Liam Ryan | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 8.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 12.6% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| David Treatman | 24.4% | 23.9% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 32.0% |
| James Giebel | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.