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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.18+1.81vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.23+0.98vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.95+2.93vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.20+0.69vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.92-0.82vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.85-1.99vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-1.84-1.19vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.79-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Princeton University-0.180.3%1st Place
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2.98Columbia University-0.230.2%1st Place
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5.93Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.69Rochester Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.18Washington College-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.01Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.81Webb Institute-1.840.1%1st Place
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5.59Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Larson | 27.8% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| David Treatman | 24.1% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 31.8% |
| Liam Ryan | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 8.1% |
| Haber Carlson | 11.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Rudy Caligure | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 26.7% |
| James Giebel | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.