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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.92+3.00vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-1.84+3.74vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.23-0.14vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.08+0.35vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.79+0.67vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.20-1.50vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.84-1.27vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Washington College-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.74Webb Institute-1.840.1%1st Place
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2.86Columbia University-0.230.3%1st Place
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4.35Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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5.67Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.73Rutgers University-1.840.1%1st Place
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3.14Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haber Carlson | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Rudy Caligure | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 26.4% |
| David Treatman | 26.7% | 22.4% | 19.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| James Giebel | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 23.5% |
| Liam Ryan | 10.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Emily Pooley | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 27.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 21.9% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.