← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College-0.92+2.97vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University-0.23+0.87vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-1.08+1.35vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute-1.84+1.74vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-1.79+0.64vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.20-1.46vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.84-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-0.46-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Washington College-0.920.1%1st Place
-
2.87Columbia University-0.230.3%1st Place
-
4.35Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
-
5.74Webb Institute-1.840.1%1st Place
-
5.64Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
4.54Rochester Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
-
5.75Rutgers University-1.840.1%1st Place
-
3.14Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haber Carlson | 13.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| David Treatman | 26.4% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Rudy Caligure | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 26.3% |
| James Giebel | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 23.0% |
| Liam Ryan | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Emily Pooley | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 27.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 23.3% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.