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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.23+1.77vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.92+2.00vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-1.08+1.26vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.46-0.80vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-2.02+0.97vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.20-1.55vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.95-1.13vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.79-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Columbia University-0.230.3%1st Place
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4.0Washington College-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.26Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.2Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
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5.97Webb Institute-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.45Rochester Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.87Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.47Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Treatman | 28.5% | 22.5% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Haber Carlson | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Veronica Lane | 21.2% | 22.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Johnson | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 30.8% |
| Liam Ryan | 11.2% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 7.3% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 20.8% | 29.7% |
| James Giebel | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.