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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.46+2.14vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.23+0.82vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.92+1.01vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.08+0.30vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.20-0.50vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.79-0.48vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-2.02-1.02vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.95-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
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2.82Columbia University-0.230.3%1st Place
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4.01Washington College-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.3Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.52Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
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5.98Webb Institute-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.73Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Lane | 22.2% | 21.8% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| David Treatman | 28.1% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Haber Carlson | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Liam Ryan | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 7.3% |
| James Giebel | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 23.2% |
| Nathan Johnson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 21.5% | 32.8% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.