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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.85+2.48vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-1.08+1.86vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34+1.33vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-1.84+1.15vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.79+0.10vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.23-3.41vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.92-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Monmouth University-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.86Princeton University-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.33Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.1%1st Place
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5.15Webb Institute-1.840.1%1st Place
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5.1Drexel University-1.790.1%1st Place
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2.59Columbia University-0.230.3%1st Place
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3.49Washington College-0.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Foley | 18.0% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% |
| William Siegener | 10.3% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| Rudy Caligure | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 32.1% |
| James Giebel | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 30.6% |
| David Treatman | 31.0% | 25.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Haber Carlson | 17.1% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.