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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.75+2.02vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.73+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59-0.99vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.16+0.97vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.79+0.78vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.35-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.84-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of South Carolina0.750.2%1st Place
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5.3North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
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2.01University of South Florida1.590.4%1st Place
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2.8Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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5.97University of North Carolina-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.78Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.75North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah DeLoach | 18.4% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Richardson | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 10.2% |
| Lila Vandenbroek | 43.3% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 21.1% | 26.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alison Tedford | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 27.6% | 21.2% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 50.2% |
| Victoria Newberry | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Kate Maner | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.