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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.59+0.98vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.73+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.75+0.02vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95-1.22vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.16+0.98vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.79+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.84-1.46vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.35-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of South Florida1.590.4%1st Place
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5.32North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.02University of South Carolina0.750.2%1st Place
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2.78Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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5.98University of North Carolina-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.74Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lila Vandenbroek | 43.6% | 29.2% | 16.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Richardson | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 10.3% |
| Sarah DeLoach | 18.3% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 22.3% | 24.0% | 24.7% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Alison Tedford | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 27.2% | 20.5% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 48.6% |
| Kate Maner | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 15.2% |
| Victoria Newberry | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.