← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.97+5.35vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.30+0.76vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.69+3.74vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.22+3.77vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.55-0.79vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.99+2.54vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.04vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.34-1.13vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.60vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University0.93-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.32+2.12vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii1.05-3.47vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.15-2.01vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida1.60-7.22vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.52-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.35Roger Williams University1.977.6%1st Place
-
2.76Stanford University3.3031.8%1st Place
-
6.74Brown University1.696.3%1st Place
-
7.77Northeastern University1.224.2%1st Place
-
4.21Yale University2.5515.4%1st Place
-
8.54University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
-
5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
-
6.87Tulane University1.346.5%1st Place
-
10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.7%1st Place
-
9.26George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
-
13.12Princeton University-0.320.7%1st Place
-
8.53University of Hawaii1.052.6%1st Place
-
10.99Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
-
6.78University of South Florida1.605.6%1st Place
-
11.53Connecticut College0.521.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 31.8% | 24.1% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 10.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 48.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 12.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.