← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.94vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.98+7.56vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.92+2.66vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University4.71+2.22vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+7.03vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.83vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.75vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida3.41+3.67vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University4.17-0.62vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami3.99-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University4.33-3.03vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.78-1.43vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.62vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.80-4.21vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.47vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.64-5.08vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.70-6.31vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
9.56Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
-
5.66Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
-
6.22Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
12.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.83U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
-
9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
11.67University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
-
8.38Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
9.54University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
-
7.97Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.57Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
-
9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.79Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
-
8.53SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
10.92College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
10.69Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
-
11.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Colin Smith | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.7% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% |
| William Heausler | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.2% |
| John Stokes | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| David Alfonso | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.