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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.75+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.59+0.05vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.95-0.20vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.35+0.73vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.79+1.79vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.73-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.84-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.16-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of South Carolina0.750.2%1st Place
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2.05University of South Florida1.590.4%1st Place
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2.8Duke University0.950.2%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University-0.350.1%1st Place
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6.79Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.27North Carolina State University-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Georgia-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.85University of North Carolina-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah DeLoach | 18.4% | 23.2% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lila Vandenbroek | 41.2% | 29.2% | 17.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 22.5% | 23.5% | 24.9% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Newberry | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 49.2% |
| Katherine Richardson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 19.7% | 10.1% |
| Kate Maner | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 14.5% |
| Alison Tedford | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 23.5% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.