Race 1A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Telmo Basterra 31.8% 24.3% 18.6% 12.1% 7.2% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Paula Resto 13.1% 18.5% 19.6% 15.7% 14.8% 9.4% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8%
Scott Hansen 10.0% 13.1% 13.9% 16.7% 15.7% 14.4% 9.0% 6.2% 1.0%
Kurban Ali 3.7% 4.9% 6.0% 8.0% 10.8% 14.9% 17.6% 18.6% 15.5%
Ian Willoughby 22.2% 20.0% 17.9% 12.1% 13.5% 6.6% 5.4% 2.1% 0.2%
Nick Baker 2.0% 2.6% 4.0% 4.7% 6.3% 8.3% 14.6% 25.4% 32.1%
Ainsley Parramore 6.6% 6.1% 7.5% 12.5% 12.5% 16.9% 18.7% 13.5% 5.7%
Joseph Ricca 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.8% 5.1% 7.6% 12.6% 22.1% 40.5%
Kyle Runnfeldt 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 13.4% 14.1% 17.8% 14.7% 9.5% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.