Race 4A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Telmo Basterra 31.6% 22.3% 19.6% 13.7% 7.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 15.3% 21.5% 18.4% 15.3% 14.0% 7.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Paula Resto 17.7% 16.7% 15.6% 17.2% 15.5% 9.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Kurban Ali 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 9.1% 10.8% 13.7% 20.3% 17.9% 13.7%
Scott Hansen 12.1% 15.5% 13.9% 14.9% 13.5% 14.2% 8.4% 5.4% 2.1%
Ainsley Parramore 6.1% 6.6% 9.6% 10.8% 12.9% 18.6% 15.1% 14.1% 6.2%
Joseph Ricca 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 2.3% 5.8% 7.9% 12.8% 22.9% 40.7%
Kyle Runnfeldt 8.3% 7.7% 10.3% 12.4% 15.7% 15.7% 13.7% 11.2% 5.0%
Nick Baker 2.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.6% 8.9% 17.2% 24.3% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.