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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.16vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+10.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+2.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+0.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-2.62vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52-0.49vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-5.98vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-4.87vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Stanford University3.3033.2%1st Place
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4.16Yale University2.5515.1%1st Place
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13.02Princeton University-0.320.6%1st Place
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6.76University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.4%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University1.976.8%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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6.76Brown University1.696.2%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.9%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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8.38University of Hawaii1.053.4%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University1.346.0%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University0.932.7%1st Place
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11.14Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 33.2% | 24.2% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.1% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 48.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.