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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.33+7.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+7.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+7.40vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.99+4.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+4.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-0.65vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.17+0.48vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64+1.90vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy4.09-1.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-1.37vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.32vs Predicted
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14University of Florida3.41-2.48vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-3.67vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.98vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.70-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.62Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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10.4Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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5.57Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.9College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.91SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Colin Smith | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Mac Mace | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Philip Crain | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| William Heausler | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 18.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.