Race 2B

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelsy Waack 8.5% 8.0% 11.0% 10.4% 14.5% 16.8% 16.5% 11.5% 2.8%
Samuel Baker 22.2% 23.5% 18.3% 15.8% 8.8% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Connor Ratcliff 28.8% 21.0% 17.1% 14.9% 9.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrew Scotti 11.2% 14.0% 14.1% 16.0% 15.0% 13.3% 9.3% 6.3% 0.8%
Ian Hunter 9.7% 13.2% 13.7% 14.3% 12.8% 13.3% 12.5% 8.0% 2.5%
Hannah Sellers 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 5.9% 9.9% 11.3% 18.6% 26.3% 16.1%
Margaret MacCormack 10.3% 11.5% 13.3% 14.6% 16.2% 15.6% 11.0% 5.4% 2.1%
Charlotte Samson 4.7% 3.8% 5.6% 6.1% 10.3% 13.4% 18.5% 23.6% 14.0%
Samantha Capozzi 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.8% 7.7% 17.0% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.