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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.23vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+2.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+4.27vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.32+7.17vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-0.68vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34-1.02vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.15+1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-2.50vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.30-9.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.58vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.60-7.32vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Northeastern University1.224.2%1st Place
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4.23Yale University2.5516.0%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.8%1st Place
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6.68Brown University1.696.6%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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13.17Princeton University-0.320.5%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University1.976.8%1st Place
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6.98Tulane University1.345.7%1st Place
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10.95Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
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8.5University of Hawaii1.053.0%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.3032.4%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.5%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.606.2%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College0.521.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 49.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 11.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.4% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.