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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.00vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.33+5.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+3.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.31vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+3.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+1.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.17+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.99+0.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-0.50vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.92-5.54vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Florida3.41-1.55vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-5.55vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.59vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.70-5.80vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.5Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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8.45SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Colin Smith | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| John Stokes | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% |
| William Heausler | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.8% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.