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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+7.07vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.45vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.20vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+5.36vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.77vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+1.42vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+4.02vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.13-0.68vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73+0.07vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.38-3.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.13vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.24-4.84vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.70-7.73vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-2.24vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.44-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.36University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.39Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.02Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.22George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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11.07Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.76Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% |
| Riley Legault | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Claire Havig | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 12.8% | 22.8% | 25.3% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.