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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+4.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.02vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+4.29vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+4.15vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+1.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.44+5.83vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.91vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.73+0.01vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.38-3.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-3.41vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-1.61vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-5.99vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College0.85-2.29vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.29Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.15University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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14.83University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.01Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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12.39Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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13.71Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.9% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Riley Legault | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 46.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 12.9% |
| Claire Havig | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 23.1% | 23.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.