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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.36vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+4.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+3.48vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-1.50vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70-0.89vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+4.87vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+2.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-3.86vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.38-3.51vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-4.48vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.32vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.73-5.05vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.44-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.5Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.11Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.87Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.21Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 27.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 10.0% |
| Riley Legault | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Claire Havig | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 18.2% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.