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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+7.06vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+4.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.20vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.55vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.73+5.12vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+1.12vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.70-1.59vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+2.23vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.40-2.40vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College0.85+1.71vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.38-4.39vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.13-4.48vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-9.89vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-1.24vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.24-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.12Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.44Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.41Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.23Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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13.71Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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5.11Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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14.76University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Riley Legault | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% |
| Talia Toland | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 22.7% | 27.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 19.4% | 44.2% |
| Claire Havig | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.