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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.17vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+5.33vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+1.45vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.70-0.90vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73+2.09vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-3.05vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.38-2.43vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.24-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.13-3.45vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.05vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.85-1.34vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.35-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.44-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.33University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.42Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.1Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.57Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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13.66Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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12.28Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 22.0% | 27.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 11.1% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.