← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.10vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.16+6.99vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.94vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.70+3.07vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.33-0.16vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.38+2.38vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.76-0.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.17vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.28vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.35+1.96vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.20-5.50vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.40-3.85vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.13-3.71vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.73-3.21vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College0.85-1.59vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.44-1.38vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.14-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.99University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.07Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
4.84Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
-
8.38Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.79George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.83University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
11.96Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.5Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.15Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
9.29University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.79Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
13.41Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
-
14.62University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
-
12.62Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Riley Legault | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 8.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 24.6% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 41.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.