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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.38+6.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+2.29vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.48vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.72vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33-0.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.10vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-1.39vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73+1.65vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-3.17vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35+0.89vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.66-1.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-4.81vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-5.98vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-1.53vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.14-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.61George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.83Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.89Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.76University of South Florida1.660.0%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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13.51Eckerd College0.850.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont2.130.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Wisconsin0.440.0%1st Place
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12.51Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Allison Weinbecker | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Talia Toland | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ainsley Parramore | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 23.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Cailin Considine | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 38.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.