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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+6.96vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.33+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+5.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.58vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.92+0.25vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+1.98vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-1.99vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-0.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.56vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.62vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.64-2.49vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-4.09vs Predicted
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15University of Florida3.41-3.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-4.25vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.70-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.55Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.44SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.51College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Colin Smith | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| William Heausler | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.8% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 18.7% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.