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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+5.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+5.89vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+5.46vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30-1.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97+1.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+1.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60-1.16vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93+0.13vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+1.58vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.15+0.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.85vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-5.98vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.32-0.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Brown University1.695.9%1st Place
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7.89Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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8.46University of Hawaii1.053.4%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.3032.6%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University1.976.6%1st Place
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4.14Yale University2.5515.8%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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6.84University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University0.933.4%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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11.05Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.3%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University1.345.5%1st Place
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13.05Princeton University-0.320.7%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.6% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 21.6% | 18.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 48.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.