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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.81vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+4.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75+4.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-3.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.88vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.06+5.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.70-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.90-2.14vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.01-0.18vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.26-2.81vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.80vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.20-1.77vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.25-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.16Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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4.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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3.92Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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14.67Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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14.23Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Haig | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.1% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Key | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 40.7% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Emma Marston | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 31.0% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.