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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+5.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.23vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.94+4.66vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.70+4.35vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+3.43vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.06+7.47vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.01+3.68vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.38-4.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.90-1.32vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-1.62vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.87vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-6.71vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.26-2.83vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.43-8.12vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.20-1.74vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.25-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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14.47Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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11.68Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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14.26Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.16Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 38.3% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 19.2% | 33.8% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.