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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.75+7.24vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.84vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.70+5.53vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+2.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-2.72vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.01+3.64vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-1.71vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.94vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.25+0.14vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.20+2.15vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-3.75vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.06+0.58vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.90-6.25vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-6.69vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.26-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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6.13Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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11.64Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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14.15Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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14.58Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 20.7% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 17.5% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 22.3% | 32.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Emily Key | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 41.0% |
| Emma Marston | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.