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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+5.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+5.24vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.94+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.70+0.66vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.26+0.12vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.62-5.77vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.06+1.52vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.75-4.58vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.01-3.18vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.25-4.86vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.04George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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3.97Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.78University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.52Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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14.25Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.7% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Key | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 21.3% | 39.9% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.