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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.90+6.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.95vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.99vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94+1.64vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.70+1.35vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75+0.44vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-2.94vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.25+0.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-2.81vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.62-6.67vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.01-1.95vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.20-0.84vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-4.89vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.06-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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3.95Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.64University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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9.35Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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7.06George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.19Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.05Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.16Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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14.57Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.6% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Haig | 17.7% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 21.6% | 33.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Emily Key | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.