← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.38+1.83vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.01+8.81vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.62+2.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.81vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.77+3.33vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.14vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.90vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.35-1.75vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.90-1.38vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.75-1.57vs Predicted
-
12Boston College1.70-2.50vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.94-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University0.20+0.29vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.25-3.89vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.41-2.25vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.26-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
-
3.83Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
11.81Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.21Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.33Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
7.25George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.62University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.43Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.5Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
8.69University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
-
14.29Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
-
11.11Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
-
13.75Christopher Newport University0.410.0%1st Place
-
11.17University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 18.9% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.7% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 9.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Marston | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 39.1% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.7% |
| Mackenzie Conner | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 28.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.