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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.14vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.17vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.01+7.90vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.83vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62+0.31vs Predicted
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7Tulane University0.20+7.16vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.90+0.54vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.94-2.30vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.25-0.90vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.65vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.70-4.41vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.26-3.92vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.35-8.89vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.41-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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11.9Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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14.16Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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11.1Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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7.11George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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13.77Christopher Newport University0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 23.0% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 18.8% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alanna Austin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 20.2% | 36.0% |
| Emma Marston | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Conner | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.