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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.99vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.75+7.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.90+2.89vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.94+1.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.70+1.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.13vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.01+1.01vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35-4.87vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.26-1.86vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.92vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.06-0.53vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.20-1.70vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.25-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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3.98Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston College1.700.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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12.01Fordham University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.13George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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14.47Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.3Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.17Eckerd College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Haig | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.4% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emma Batcher | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Costikyan | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 9.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Key | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 38.9% |
| Alanna Austin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 21.9% | 32.8% |
| Margaret MacCormack | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.