Race 10A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 27.0% 21.2% 16.0% 10.0% 9.9% 6.3% 3.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 5.0% 7.5% 6.9% 7.7% 8.6% 7.5% 9.0% 7.8% 11.4% 8.7% 7.9% 5.6% 3.5% 2.9%
Matthew Schon 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.8% 10.0% 7.6% 8.2% 6.8% 5.0% 3.1% 2.1%
Christian Manchester 10.0% 10.9% 12.2% 11.0% 11.9% 10.8% 8.8% 7.4% 5.5% 4.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Christopher Poole 3.1% 4.0% 5.2% 6.1% 5.8% 8.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.5% 9.3% 9.9% 10.4% 8.1% 6.5%
Will Pelleteri 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.8% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 7.3% 11.8% 8.8% 12.6% 10.0%
Ben Greenfield 15.6% 16.0% 13.0% 12.2% 11.6% 10.9% 6.6% 5.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Andrew Kurzrok 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 6.7% 8.0% 6.6% 10.2% 7.5% 9.0% 9.9% 9.1% 7.3%
Conor Lodge 4.3% 4.2% 4.3% 5.9% 6.5% 4.8% 8.6% 10.2% 8.6% 10.1% 9.2% 10.5% 7.6% 5.2%
Elizabeth Barry 10.2% 10.0% 12.6% 12.9% 10.8% 9.0% 9.8% 7.8% 5.8% 4.8% 2.9% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5%
Peter Giuliano 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 7.0% 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 10.4% 10.6% 11.3% 9.7% 9.5%
Billy Hines 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.7% 6.3% 6.7% 7.0% 10.0% 10.4% 11.9% 12.7% 15.3%
Reeve Dunne 3.5% 3.3% 3.1% 4.4% 4.1% 6.3% 5.5% 7.6% 8.4% 8.8% 8.9% 11.3% 12.9% 11.9%
Graham Philpot 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 4.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.3% 6.8% 7.7% 10.1% 17.9% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.