Race 1A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Toby Clarkson 8.3% 10.8% 13.1% 12.4% 12.2% 13.5% 13.2% 10.8% 5.0% 0.8%
Buck Rathbun 28.4% 24.9% 17.2% 12.3% 7.2% 5.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Harris 16.2% 15.1% 14.9% 16.0% 14.1% 9.6% 7.8% 4.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Curtis Mallory 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 9.6% 10.8% 12.5% 15.9% 16.2% 12.9% 2.7%
Robert Heath 14.1% 12.8% 15.2% 12.8% 13.2% 11.8% 9.7% 6.9% 2.8% 0.6%
Isabella Cho 13.1% 12.3% 13.4% 14.0% 14.4% 12.4% 10.3% 6.9% 3.0% 0.3%
Jordynn Johnson 6.2% 7.6% 8.5% 9.2% 10.9% 12.2% 13.8% 16.8% 12.1% 2.8%
Kevin McNeill 4.9% 6.0% 6.6% 8.2% 9.5% 12.3% 13.5% 17.4% 17.9% 3.6%
Marshall Rodes 2.1% 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 6.0% 8.8% 9.7% 15.0% 33.9% 12.7%
Colin Kenny 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 3.0% 4.3% 10.8% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.