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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+1.74vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+5.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.12vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+5.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+2.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05+0.37vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.34-1.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-3.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-0.56vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.15-0.83vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-6.17vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.32-0.91vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Stanford University3.3031.8%1st Place
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7.84Northeastern University1.224.0%1st Place
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4.12Yale University2.5517.0%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.8%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University1.695.5%1st Place
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8.37University of Hawaii1.053.8%1st Place
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7.08Tulane University1.344.9%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University1.977.5%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.8%1st Place
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11.17Maine Maritime Academy0.151.6%1st Place
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6.83University of South Florida1.606.3%1st Place
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13.09Princeton University-0.320.6%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 31.8% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Spearman | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 9.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 48.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.