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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.00+7.72vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.33+5.46vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+5.94vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.31vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.61vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.22vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.73+1.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-3.97vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-2.63vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-2.69vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-3.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-2.65vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.74vs Predicted
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16University of Florida3.41-4.64vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.31Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.26SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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11.77Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stokes | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Olin Davis | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| John Stokes | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| William Heausler | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 15.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.