← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.85vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.23vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.14+5.84vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.75+2.19vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University3.14+3.55vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.56+1.03vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.54vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.29vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.27+3.01vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.48-2.49vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.49+0.31vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.59-4.81vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.78+0.52vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.53-7.11vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University3.16-6.53vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.89-2.60vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University2.26-4.81vs Predicted
-
18Washington College0.80-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.84Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.19College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
8.55Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.03Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.01University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
-
7.51Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.31George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.19Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
13.52Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
6.89Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.47Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.4Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
-
12.19Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
15.99Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Augie Dale | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| John Whitehead | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 14.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 12.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| William Sunkler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.