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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+5.06vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14+4.58vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.75+1.32vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+4.37vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+1.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.90vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89+3.57vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.27+1.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78+0.59vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-2.19vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-6.46vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.80vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-9.21vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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13.57Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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12.19University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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13.59Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.81Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.54Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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16.03Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
| John Whitehead | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 13.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Sunkler | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.