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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.08vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+7.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05+1.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-1.66vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.32+4.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.04vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-4.26vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.04vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.35-5.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-3.55vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Yale University2.5517.0%1st Place
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9.2George Washington University0.932.5%1st Place
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2.74Stanford University3.3031.6%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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6.75Brown University1.695.7%1st Place
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7.87Northeastern University1.224.6%1st Place
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8.44University of Hawaii1.053.8%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University1.976.6%1st Place
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13.04Princeton University-0.320.6%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.2%1st Place
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6.74University of South Florida1.606.5%1st Place
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10.96Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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7.56Tulane University1.354.8%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.2%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College0.520.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 31.6% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 47.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 9.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.