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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.79vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.33+5.44vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.00+5.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+4.11vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.73+4.21vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.92-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+0.77vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.17-0.63vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.58vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-2.24vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Florida3.41-2.54vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.58vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.30-4.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.11Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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5.33Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.41SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.82Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Olin Davis | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| John Stokes | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| William Heausler | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 19.3% |
| Eric Horrocks | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.