← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.14+7.84vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.79vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.97vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University2.26+7.93vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.72+5.23vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.12vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.59-0.12vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.53-0.89vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University3.14-0.34vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.56-2.73vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.27+1.23vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.75-5.38vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.78+0.58vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.80vs Predicted
-
15Washington College0.80+1.17vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.48-8.60vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University3.16-8.21vs Predicted
-
18Christopher Newport University1.89-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.84Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.93Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
10.23George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.88Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
7.11Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.66Cornell University3.140.0%1st Place
-
7.27Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
12.23University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
-
6.62College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
13.58Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
16.17Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.4Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.79Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.22Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Whitehead | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.6% |
| Augie Dale | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 17.5% | 54.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.