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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+5.47vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.09+4.98vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.32+6.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.12vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+0.42vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97+0.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.39vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.24-3.67vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.96+0.40vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-4.07vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.08+0.68vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.68-1.89vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.71-6.73vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.63-3.55vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.4Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.93Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.68Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.11University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.45Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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14.25Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christian Filter | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Vir Menon | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 30.6% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 12.5% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 15.2% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.