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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+6.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.09vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.99vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+2.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24+0.18vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17-0.57vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.09-1.34vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.40vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-1.88vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.32-0.86vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.96-1.02vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.71-5.02vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.68-1.91vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.63-2.59vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-2.00vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.12Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.14George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.98Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.09University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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13.41Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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15.0Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.3Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Miller | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jack Brown | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Vir Menon | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 33.6% |
| Paul Hart | 1.7% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.