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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+8.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.37vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+3.14vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+2.28vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.32+4.88vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.49vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.95+0.25vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97-0.74vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-1.95vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-3.35vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.63+1.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.36vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.25vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.68-1.85vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-1.45vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.96-4.66vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.88George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.51Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.65Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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13.57Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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13.15University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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14.55Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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12.34Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.8Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 17.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Miller | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% |
| Paul Hart | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 25.6% |
| Vir Menon | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.