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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.62+5.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+4.82vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+3.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.89+5.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.93vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73+4.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70-0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.63-1.03vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-2.89vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.87-0.45vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.89-1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.63-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-5.83vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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6.94Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.55Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Carmody | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Bernie Roesler | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% |
| Samuel Ingham | 18.1% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 21.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Hannon | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| Vincent Andrews | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 16.7% |
| Halsey Richartz | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.