← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.30+1.72vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.04vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.69+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.97+2.41vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.55-0.83vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.35+1.48vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.60-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.15+2.98vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.99-0.60vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.52+1.55vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.05-2.71vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.22-4.21vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.43vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University0.93-4.87vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-0.32-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72Stanford University3.3032.4%1st Place
-
6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.777.5%1st Place
-
6.69Brown University1.696.5%1st Place
-
6.41Roger Williams University1.977.1%1st Place
-
4.17Yale University2.5516.4%1st Place
-
7.48Tulane University1.354.7%1st Place
-
6.73University of South Florida1.606.7%1st Place
-
10.98Maine Maritime Academy0.151.7%1st Place
-
8.4University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
-
11.55Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
-
8.29University of Hawaii1.054.2%1st Place
-
7.79Northeastern University1.223.6%1st Place
-
10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.321.6%1st Place
-
9.13George Washington University0.932.5%1st Place
-
13.06Princeton University-0.320.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 32.4% | 23.5% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 9.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.