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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+6.46vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+6.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+4.76vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.32+6.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.52vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.76vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.07vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96+3.19vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.68+3.37vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+3.96vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.58vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26+1.29vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.23-6.92vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.66vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.97-7.65vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.09-9.02vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.63-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.55Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.69George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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12.19Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.37University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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14.96Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.42Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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14.29Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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7.08College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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13.22Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 35.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 24.2% |
| Jack Brown | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.