← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.64vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.95+6.63vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.09+5.02vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.71vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.17+2.48vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.77+3.13vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.94+1.39vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.72-2.53vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.23-1.80vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.24-2.50vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.96+1.37vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.68+1.50vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.32-2.29vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University1.08+0.70vs Predicted
-
15Washington College1.26-0.52vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.82-3.16vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-8.63vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-12.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.63Fordham University2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.02Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.48Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
9.13Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.39Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
5.47Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.2College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.5Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
12.37Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
-
13.5University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
-
10.71George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
-
14.7Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
14.48Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
12.84Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
5.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Vir Menon | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 31.3% |
| Paul Hart | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 25.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charles Miller | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.