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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+3.15vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+2.49vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+1.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.08vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.95-0.67vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.94-1.34vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.32-0.01vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.54vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.09-5.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-1.53vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-0.49vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.68-3.63vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.49Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.31College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.46Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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12.47Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.51Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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12.38Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.37University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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14.86Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Miller | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brown | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Paul Hart | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 26.1% |
| Vir Menon | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.