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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.34vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+5.42vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.59vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.32+6.66vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+2.51vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.94+2.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-1.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-0.79vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96+3.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-1.96vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-1.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.72vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.95-4.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-6.50vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.63-1.66vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.68-2.73vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.26-2.45vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.08-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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5.49Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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9.22Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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13.34Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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13.27University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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14.55Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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14.83Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Charles Miller | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 13.8% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 28.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.